“Secondary” US Cities will grow more than the top cities in the coming decades.

Detroit, Atlanta, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Raleigh, Sacramento, San Diego, Pittsburg, Nashville, Charlotte, etc… This will be especially notable in cities that have been hit hard by the reduction in manufacturing jobs over the last five decades. Its not that manufacturing jobs will come back, but more young people are and will move to these cities bringing…More

Self-driving cars will hurt hotels.

Business travelers will opt to sleep in the car rather than in a hotel. You can travel somewhere overnight without being exhausted as long as the car has a lay-flat seat. Truckers will be eliminated and so will their usage of hotels when they travel. What other unexpected industries will be affected? ^Day 201/90 62…More

Self driving cars will decimate the oil industry.

US households currently spend $1,900 a year on gas. With 124.6 million US households thats $237 billion a year. It will be much easier to have a self-driving electric car than a non-self-driving electric car: 1. The car can go charge itself while you do other things like eat or shop even if the charger…More

Self driving cars will eliminate 4 million jobs overnight.

The concept is basically proven with a few kinks to work out. Once those are worked out, there will be a bit of a process to get them approved by government bodies. Governmental approval will be the tipping point. One day there will be no self-driving cars and within 6 months they will be 50%+…More

Snapchat is the next Groupon.

A wildly popular app that is valued at much more than its worth. The primary issue is that it has no clear, scalable, revenue streams. The secondary issue is that it is a frivolous product. Snapchat makes revenue in two ways: 1. An old-school news section where advertising is sold on a one-off basis. 2.…More

The left continues to vilify the right.

Instead, they should engage on the underlying concerns. Its the same dynamic that led to Trump’s election as president. “You’re evil.” “Fuck you.” and proceeds to escalate rhetoric and actions. The right has felt overwhelmed and under attack. Partially, because the economics of immigration and job loss (among other issues) are hard to grasp. They’re…More

Trump is using negative anchors to break up the stalemate in Washington.

Instead of preemptively watering down his proposals to what he thinks people will accept, he is going for much more than he actually wants. Then, he’ll negotiate with an alarmed opposition. One that is not longer comfortable that the status quo will go on for as long as possible. One that fears that basic freedoms…More

Corporations no longer wield private armies.

But, they arguably are on the brink of more power now than even when they had them. Companies in the past ruled de-facto empires: 1. The Dutch East India Company controlled Indonesia and the spice trade from there. Defeating local governments in the process. 2. The English East India Company effectively colonized India and extracted…More

Hows Trump doing?

I’ve been mostly ignoring news for the past few months. But, some bits and pieces has slipped through. To me, it seems like: 1. He’s acting like a child. 2. He’s made a lot of executive actions that sounds scary but may or may not lead to anything: 2.1 Putting a freeze on EPA grants.…More